Don’t Write Off Shares Just Yet

April 10th, 2009

Some people have a different perspective on sharemarket slumps. They see the low stock prices as a chance to invest in a cheap shares.

During times of market volatility, it is our natural instinct to protect our investments and distance ourselves from risk. While this reaction is unsurprising, it can also mean losing out on growth opportunities created during crazy times.

Warren Buffet, one of the world’s best known investors, sees market slumps from another viewpoint, saying “Look at market swings as your friend rather than your foe; profit from folly rather than participate in it.”

Generally when we see a lower price for something we want we rush in for a good deal, however it can be quite the opposite with stocks. Why is it that we treat stocks that have dropped in price with dread? Stock prices of a listed firm can drop for a number of reasons.

Lately we have seen the share prices of a number of reputable companies with healthy balance sheets be negatively affected due to a rush to sell as a result of the economic crisis.

Despite the difficult share trading environment, fund managers are constantly checking the market for investment opportunities. Many superannuation managers are searching to find shares in sound companies with strong balance sheets and dividends. For example Australian companies such as household names like David Jones have delivered strong profits after tax and dividends in 2008. However during 2008, David Jones’ share price fell by more than 30%.

Identifying opportunities
Not all firms will be affected by the world economic crisis similarly. Some industries are more susceptible to the business cycle than others.

Companies who deal in of basic goods and services continue on almost unchanged, for example we all need to eat - so food producers aren’t as affected as much as manufacturing, retail or luxury goods.

Australia’s population growth is at a 20 year peak and growing at 1.7% per annum. Australia’s growing population provides increasing demand for goods and services as people need food, housing, cars, and other staples. Unlike many overseas countries, Australia benefits from two key factors: a high population growth rate and a high demand for accommodation.

Population growth is nearly twice that of the US while Germany has negative population growth. In the US there is an over-supply of housing while Australia suffers from a lack of supply. The combination of limited accommodation and a rising population will create growing demand for housing which will support further construction and provide opportunities for the building industry.

The value of companies
Many people view companies with falling share prices with fear, but we need to take a look under the bonnet of these firms to determine why. Have they borrowed heavily?

What industry are they in? Are they competitive against their peers? Only by answering these questions, can we know if their share price has fallen for valid reasons or if the company is indeed on sale.

When investing, many fund managers seek companies with high and maintainable returns, strong balance sheets and substantial cash flow. These companies are more likely to outlast the volatility storm and may give you a greater return when the market moves into the next phase of recovery and
beyond.

Before you consider changing your strategy, you should seek financial advice. Having a financial planner and a long-term financial plan can give you confidence to manage the effects of market cycles. With the right advice you can ensure your investments are tailored to your risk profile and time horizon, giving you the certainty of knowing you’re doing what’s right for you. This article brought to you by a Brisbane business consultant who offers sales training courses and a web site designer brisbane. Distribution by seo packages. BS1004

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